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mak1277

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Do any of you have thoughts on where you think the watch market is headed? After a year+ of a lot of recreational spending diverted to lux goods, combined with a lot of printed money and an S&P that just keeps roaring - is this the top of the watch craze, or do you think this will go on...(gmts going for 20k....daytonas for 40k...etc...)
I'm getting a fairly large tax refund this year, so I just went out browsing grey market sites for watches...Daytona's at one well-known site are sitting between $37-40k right now.
 

9thsymph

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I'm getting a fairly large tax refund this year, so I just went out browsing grey market sites for watches...Daytona's at one well-known site are sitting between $37-40k right now.
Right. That’s what I’m seeing too (and said as much...). Do you think it will persist (would you pay that type of premium?)?

I’m seeing many, many “hard to get pieces” on the grey. At some point the music stops for the dealer-to-dealer flipping that is driving these prices (retail buyers are not the target, it would seem to me. This seems like a game of chicken between wholesale sellers...)
 

mak1277

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Right. That’s what I’m seeing too (and said as much...). Do you think it will persist (would you pay that type of premium?)?

I’m seeing many, many “hard to get pieces” on the grey. At some point the music stops for the dealer-to-dealer flipping that is driving these prices (retail buyers are not the target, it would seem to me. This seems like a game of chicken between wholesale sellers...)
My mistake, I thought you were postulating that prices would go that high (it's been a while since I browsed obviously).

Personally, I think discretionary spending will continue to rise as long as the market is booming and the gov't is giving money away. At some point the music will stop and prices will normalize (but not go below MSRP).
 

9thsymph

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My mistake, I thought you were postulating that prices would go that high (it's been a while since I browsed obviously).

Personally, I think discretionary spending will continue to rise as long as the market is booming and the gov't is giving money away. At some point the music will stop and prices will normalize (but not go below MSRP).
Right. I expect hype pieces to hold value, or command a premium, but this 2x, 3x shit is just stupid.
 

9thsymph

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Right. I expect hype pieces to hold value, or command a premium, but this 2x, 3x shit is just stupid.
16710s from the 80s going for 15k? I mean, this is absurd...

That’s a 5k watch - 10k at the very, very most...good grief!
 

Omega Male

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16710s from the 80s going for 15k? I mean, this is absurd...

That’s a 5k watch - 10k at the very, very most...good grief!
Similar to what's happening with used cars. New supply is severely constrained, so preowned prices go up pretty much across the board.
 

9thsymph

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Similar to what's happening with used cars. New supply is severely constrained, so preowned prices go up pretty much across the board.
Yep. But are used car dealers selling among themselves to drive up the prices further? I get the feeling that market is grounded more conventionally on supply and demand. There’s some weirder shit going on with the watch market. But yes to your point...
 

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