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Thinking about a stake in DD.... any holders?
7000 would take some sort of war or big company meltdown to get to. If I sense a little stress in the market, I buy TZA as a hedge and try not to hold it too long. Probably not for everyone but I like my odds with the small caps.
7000 would take some sort of war or big company meltdown to get to.
I don't think so. Seems like it would just take enough doubt in an overheated market. Not to mention next quarters earnings seem like they are going to be weak.
If you had $100 million dollars what would be the most painless way to make steady gains on it without having somebody else manage it? ETFs?
A couple of things:I'm getting really skittish and starting to buy GLD/move into cash. All this currency being printed is either going to cause a ton of inflation or will raise interest rates a lot or some measure of both. I don't see a simple way out of it and the market will take the brunt.
Buying a short ETF, let alone one that is leveraged two or three times, is quite possibly the most foolish thing you could do. If you are so bearish, why wouldn't you buy government bonds? In the event of a severe market beak, Treasury bonds act as a synthetic gamma with a positive carry. And who doesn't love a positive carry?Around late Sept/Oct, I am going to buy a short ETF. I sense a big correction, even a crash that could test the 7000 level.
Anyone else feeling this way?
No, sorry. 7000? That's not even a reasonable-minds-can-differ thing. It would take a lot more than that.
I'm going to assume you're not a troll, since you have 10,000-plus posts.
But your question doesn't really make a lot of sense. First, you need to define what you mean by "steady gains" (and "painless"). Since nothing is going to assure you of risk-free, consistently steady gains - especially if you factor in inflation - is what you're really looking for something that has relatively little risk to principal with growth or income potential? Regardless, buying a bunch of ETFs seems like a terrible idea, for a variety of reasons. Your best bet would probably be a diversified portfolio of index funds, with maybe a few other things thrown in to cover areas where you want exposure but there's no index fund that fits. (I'm further assuming than an index fund fits your definition of "not managed by somebody else". If not, it's hard for me to see how ETFs fit.)
Although my real answer is that if I had $100 million I probably wouldn't worry about it all that much . . .
No, sorry. 7000? That's not even a reasonable-minds-can-differ thing. It would take a lot more than that.
A couple of things:
- no money is 'printed', bonds are swapped for reserves
- QE cannot cause real economic inflation; we have 5 years of data in the Western world and over 20 years of Japanese data confirming this
- interest rates will rise 'a lot' when the Fed wants it to
- Interestingly enough I agree with your gut feeling; QE has created significant dislocations in the credit and equity markets.
Buying a short ETF, let alone one that is leveraged two or three times, is quite possibly the most foolish thing you could do. If you are so bearish, why wouldn't you buy government bonds? In the event of a severe market beak, Treasury bonds act as a synthetic gamma with a positive carry. And who doesn't love a positive carry?
Not a troll just very very ignorant
Painless to me means as little time managing as possible. Not looking for risk free gains.
I was thinking a mixture of equity and fixed income assets and a small proportion of cash equivalents (like 45/45/10). Equity investments would be centered on ETFs and index funds and individual equity focused on blue chip companies with undervalued P/E ratios, but relatively high dividend yields, and a history of consistent growth. Fixed income assets would include 10-year Treasuries, investment grade corporates, and investment grade municipals. Cash equivalents would include money market holdings and treasury bills.
This is the limit of my finance knowledge. I know I probably sound like an idiot, but was simply wondering what I would do