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We are in a highly sought-after subdivision. The average price per SF in our subdivision is $330 as of last month. The number of homes in the $400 per SF range is increasing. I suppose it's due to a combination of things. There are a lot of people fleeing places such as CA and Chicago with lots of money to spend. The number of new CA residents here is staggering. Also, there is the backlog of buyers from 2020 who put off buying until this year plus all of the 2021 buyers.
Classic. Just randomly suppose things rather than use data.
Here are some facts for you:
1. Of all states, CA was #6 in most people moving to TN. On its face, that supports your idea that a lot of people moving from CA.
Except, that's in absolute numbers.
2. ~12k people moved to TN from CA last year. More people moved to TN from Mississippi. 75% more people moved from FL.
3. ~6k people from TN moved to CA last year. So there was only a net gain of about 6k people, and if you bother to do the as a percentage of people, you'd see that a larger % of TN residents moved to CA than CA to TN.
Now let's look at the composition of the people moving and see if it is as rosy as people claim.
4. People aren't moving into TN because of work. They're moving there to retire or for family reasons. Meanwhile the majority of those leaving TN are leaving for work.
5. The migration in TN is old people moving in and young people leaving. 50% of those leaving TN are under 55. Only 39% moving in are under 55 (with only 10% under 35)
So yes, TN is growing and more people from CA are moving to TN, but you and I must have a different definition of staggering.