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Talking stocks, trading, and investing in general

PhilKenSebben

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So, apparently I'm a ******* idiot for not having front loaded 529 plans for my kids years ago. Had no idea you could bung $150K in there all at once.
Um. If you have more cash to bung about.... My kid could use some front loading
 

Piobaire

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Whats the bear case for ABNB? Seems like only competition is VBRO, and it's not really close

As was pointed out yesterday's dive was due to the lockout period ending. Last week's dive was apparently sentiment is that it's still overvalued from its IPO run up even though earnings were good. I am in the minority but I'm not bullish on it as their business model is subject to local ordinances and I see them popping up world wide. I supposed they'll do fine for the next several years but I see more and more tourist places writing ordinances against them.
 

Piobaire

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PhilKenSebben

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Piobaire

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Here's a little play with CVNA. Max profit is 140 and max loss is 860 but there's an 87% probability of profit. I mean, it would have to drop from 232 down to a BE of 188. 14% in a month, which you'll get on June 18th at any price over 190, isn't bad.

 

Piobaire

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I hear the BTC magic is not doing so well...
 

Piobaire

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When the underlying goes up but somehow your put credit spread goes red. How does that even happen mathematically?
 

Piobaire

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Closed out my ABNB credit spreads for 55% of max profit. Much better this week as soon as I played a bear spread off of it.
 

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