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How did you come about those particular companies?
I don't know the history of all of those stocks, I do know XOM and DOW's history's pretty well, but how well does the program handle unexpected events like bankruptcy or something like an oil spill? Something outside of normal trending.
It's no guarantee of future returns, but like I said, our backtesting is totally unbiased, so that is what we would have earned. I'll post a chart of our results so far in a bit.
I don't know the history of all of those stocks, I do know XOM and DOW's history's pretty well, but how well does the program handle unexpected events like bankruptcy or something like an oil spill? Something outside of normal trending.
Generally it handles event risk pretty well, but major singular events like an oil spill (which are much harder to see coming than a bankruptcy) are tricky.
The only real solution there is to make sure we're adequately diversified and to have some of our portfolio composed of ETFs that don't have the same level of event risk as individual stocks.
How do you know you're not just being compensated for risk? You're supposed to get high returns with high-beta stocks. As an investor, I would be more interested in the beta of your fund, not just returns.
I was actually a bit surprised that you would use any individual stocks for this. Was it just impossible to find those betas in ETF's?
Cs makes a good point, it's worth while to see what the risk adjusted return is to see if you are really offering and advantage or just most risk.
In my own portfolios I don't pay attention to beta, but for something like this It should be one of the indicators of how much risk you are offering, in my opinion.
Our fund has a beta of 0.47
That is stunning if true. Care to share what market inefficiency you're exploiting or is that proprietary (or already covered in the thread)?
The natural question is what expertise or insight does your team have that has gotten you into a trade that has eluded everybody else? I'm not really looking for an answer, just voicing a gut reaction.