Does anyone think Jay would have stod any chance in 1992, if NBC had also given Johnny Carson his own show? Of course not. Looks as if NBC was hedging its bet -- keep the old guy people love around at an "accessible" time while the successor plies his trade in the new spot. Unfortunately, NBC has successfully torpedoed the Tonight Show franchise, pissed off a few key assets, and enraged the affiliates. But apparently the money made on the Leno show will salve most of the problems temporarily. Still doesn't make up for the fact that Zucker and crew don't seem to have a clear plan.