Discussion in 'Entertainment, Culture, and Sports' started by edinatlanta, Feb 3, 2011.
And so is....JACKSON!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I was really surprised they didn't go to him when Valverde blew up.
The Giants didn't miss a beat- Wilson- Casilla- Romo
How 'bout them Braves?
Denisons of this thread-- can you help settle a bar-room argument:
What are the odds of a .600 team beating a .400 team any given game?
too many variables. you need to narrow it down. are the #1's of both teams starting? is everyone healthy? over a series, its a little easier to predict. for one game, its basically an odds crap shoot. probably 6-in-10.
Brayan Pena was a double hero in the Tigers 14 inning game with the Mariners. Worth staying up til 2:40 a.m. to watch.
Right. Just make the simplifying assumption that the squad on the field represents a season capability of .600. Forget about home field and everything else.
I have some back of the napkin math that shows they should win over 70% of the time, but I feel like Im missing something..
You're missing that the .600 winning percentage is spread out over teams normally distributed from .000 - 1.000 so when you calculate odds against a .400 team it is different. I think you would need a regression to figure it out.
Without getting too nerdy, I think you could safely say 6 or 7 out of 10.
You would. I think you can calculate it online using some of the regression calculators.
I have Stata on my personal computer. I should find some kind of massive data set and calculate it for real
Dude, you can't not do it now.
I'm sure to cheat you could do something involving the number of 600 and 400% winning percentage teams. But I don't know how that might help.
The data exists too. Alas, I am lazy and don't have my laptop at work
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