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If OU lose to TT, things get pretty interesting.
I watched that replay highlight about 10 times and I still don't have any idea if he crossed or not.
This will be interesting.
Who has the inside track to lose to LSU/Alabama in the title game?
Looks to me like it's Clemson, but Kansas State (!) and Oklahoma State have a shot.
Kansas State probably doesn't have a realistic shot, given that their schedule over the next 4 weeks is a murderers' row of OU, OSU, aTm, and UT.
If OSU and Clemson both win out, I think Clemson gets the nod based on stronger scheduling (particularly 2 wins over SEC teams).
It will get tough if Boise and LSU/Alabama are the lone unbeatens. I can't see Boise State getting a shot with the schedule they've played.
This is one of those quirky years (aren't they all?) where I could see an LSU/Alabama rematch for the title if they play a really close game and there is no credible unbeaten.
OSU will probably get in over Clemson since the polls and computers love the Big 12 Conference and the ACC is usually pretty weak in football.
I still wouldn't count Oklahoma out for the NC game. If they win out, they'll get a big bump in the computers from winning @ OK State, vs K-State, @ Baylor, and vs. aTm. All are quality top 30 wins.
And one bad loss. I don't see how they make the championship over any BCS conference undefeated.
1) It's not a bad loss. Texas Tech is 5-2 and ranked. A bad loss is losing to Kansas, Missouri, or Iowa State.
2) If Oklahoma wins out, K-State and Oklahoma State won't be undefeated. That leaves Stanford, Clemson, LSU, and Alabama. One of the latter can't win out because they play on Nov. 5, and the other will be in the national championship game. Stanford still has @ USC, vs. Oregon, and vs. Notre Dame, so they have about a 35-50% chance to lose one of those (not to mention their other two games). Clemson is Clemson, so they'll choke.
Oklahoma isn't doomed. They'll leapfrog every 1 loss BCS team because they're Oklahoma, and the computer will still love them.
TT is ranked now, but they weren't before the win yesterday. That looks bad for OU. The spread was 29 points, it's not a good loss.
Sure, OU would come out ahead of another one-loss team that wasn't Bama or LSU. But all those teams need to lose first. Like I said, no way do they deserve to leap frog an undefeated Clemson, Stanford, or LSU/Bama and I really doubt that would happen in the polls.
If that scenario plays out and LSU loses a thriller in Tuscaloosa do you think we'll see an SEC rematch in the national championship? Probably not what most people want but It would be hard to rationally argue against it. Is an undefeated Boise team definitely on the outside looking in?
TT is ranked now, but they weren't before the win yesterday. That looks bad for OU. The spread was 29 points, it's not a good loss.
Sure, OU would come out ahead of another one-loss team that wasn't Bama or LSU. But all those teams need to lose first. Like I said, no way do they deserve to leap frog an undefeated Clemson, Stanford, or LSU/Bama and I really doubt that would happen in the polls.
First, I'm pretty sure nobody gives a crap what the spread for the game was. Tech has lost their two games by a touchdown each to ranked teams. Do you even know what a spread is? It has exactly ZERO impact in the BCS ranking.
So basically...they need everyone else to not be undefeated. Just like I said. Just winning out won't be enough for them, they need several other teams to lose. Good that we agree then.Secondly, they won't need to leapfrog an undefeated LSU/BAMA because there are two teams in the championship game, and one of those two will be in it. At this point, there is probably a 50-75% chance that Oklahoma can make the BCS title game if they win out. I think Stanford has 35-40% chance of going undefeated. Clemson won't do it. They're Clemson. Those are the only teams that matter.