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Clothing and the rich - Page 11

post #151 of 157
Quote:
actually, as strange as it may sound, yes. for instance, he said (in this article) that he bought used planes and cars, didn't have many cars, didn't waste money on ultra premium consumables - sounded reasonable. I am very far from his league, but I am also not going back to buying clothes at thrift shops. I think the idea of being able to live well without wasting money, however it is done, seems to be an ideal to aim for.
I think this is a reasonable and worthy aim.
post #152 of 157
Thread Starter 
linux pro: Then why did you state it differently, that in 40 years, there have never been any drop in urban real estate values in every urban market. The way I read your original statement, you were saying that every year, the value would go up with no downturn or corrections. I could probably say the same blanket statement about the home prices in the suburbs as well. Most things have increased in price due to inflation. What's so special about urban real estate vs. real estate in the suburbs? In fact, I'd question the whole 40 year timespan for urban real estate. Maybe your gf's father can correct me, but it seems that during this time, urban property hasn't been very popular at all. Its only been in the last ten years that you've seen this renaissance in urban living, where people wanted to move into the city. And, like I said earlier, housing is a good investment if you can keep it for a long time to weather any volatility in the housing market. But, keep this in mind, stocks have been historically a good investment. But, during the 70s, they were mainly flat. How long are you really willing to tie up your capital in something as illiquid as housing?
post #153 of 157
Remember, urban housing prices have gone up in flagship markets in the last 10 years, but that's not necessarily true of many urban areas, especially midsized cities in the Midwest and Deep South... esquire, typically you wouldn't be tying up much capital. This is the typical real estate investment that I would make. Purchase condo (or duplex, etc...) for, let's say $250k (this may be in Long Beach, Tustin, HB, etc...1000 sq/ft, 2 bdrm, 2 bath) Let's say we're putting 15% down, or about $40k, and we're not paying any agency fees or the like. Total including closing costs, we're in for about $45k. The condo will rent for about $1500, give or take. Let's just assume that we're able to get a decent rate, somewhere around 4.5% which will yield a payment of approximately $1350. Management/upkeep fee for the condo is approximately 10% (on the high side, but let's just say) so basically this is a revenue neutral investment. You are only on the hook for about 1% of assessed value per year, but in California (with Prop 13) this is going to be $2500/yr regardless of the value going forward. Let's assume that you're getting 7% appreciation per year (which is very low for this area, but we'll consider a long term situation) Given these parameters, you're looking at a capital appreciation per year of $17500, on an initial investment of $45k, less the $2500 that you pay in property taxes, and you're building equity that can be used for future borrowing. In this type of situation, you are not tying up capital, rather, you're increasing your equity, while having someone else pay your mortgage. This is of course extremely simplified for the purposes of this discussion, but you should be able to see my point, that if you can find an easy to rent property, you should do fairly well.
post #154 of 157
I lost a sizeable chunk of capital in securities in the late 90's. And that was with an extremely diverse portfolio, 40% of which was in mutual funds like Vanguard and American (my faves), and a bit in indexes, and the securities were spread pretty even across about 8 different industries. Of course, I can't really complain, the boom was MUCH better than the crash, and did things for my capital which would have taken dozens of years otherwise (thank you Redhat and VA Linux...). Point is, you can definitely lose money in securities, I guess. I've seen it happen to a few people, although I think they were being completely stupid, trying to day-trade and all that. I don't think it would be wise for a newbie, like myself, to invest in real estate with the mindset of trying to recover gains over an extremely short period like a year or two. I just don't know enough about real estate to try that yet. And that's not really the point of real estate for most investors, anyway. You're much better off playing commodities, futures, forex, even bonds or CDs, if you're just looking for short-term gains and liquidity. My initial goal will be to drop about 50-75% of my current capital into real estate in order to further diversify, add some stability to my capital. The point of investing in real estate, for me, is the equity, and I'm looking at it as a sort of "hedge" for some extremely aggressive investing I am doing with about 10-15% of the remaining capital (forex, futures, and private investment). I have also been talking extensively with my tax guy about methods of using real estate as a way to reinvest some capital gains income, and reduce the associated tax burden. He has shown me some very good things there. Basically, if we can even see 0.5% annual growth over 5-6 years, I would be happy. I'm just investigating still... at the learning stage. Anyway... yeah, I think he was trying to tell me that over a short-term period, say 3-5 years, urban properties have not declined in value over the last 40 years.
post #155 of 157
drizz - I've got a question about your numbers. I've been told that commercial investors are required, generally, to have 25-50% down in order to secure financing. My bank told me they would not finance commercial properties (such as multi-unit rentals) without 50% down. Have you experienced this? Are you financing through banks, or you using an MMA or the like? If I could get into some properties at $50k a pop, that would be sweet. I'm coming to LA in March. Let's have a drink. I would love to discuss it all with you a bit further, pick your brain a bit if that's kosher, and the dinner would be on me (no holds barred, I'm not cheap when it comes to a good steak and lobster).
post #156 of 157
Commercial loans in Cali are > 4 units. I'm not sure what the statute is in WA, but generally a single or 2 unit is going to be a personal loan... Depending on your credit, commerical (non-construction) loans are normally 20% down, but can be higher depending on certain factors (such as the property in question)
post #157 of 157
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Anyway... yeah, I think he was trying to tell me that over a short-term period, say 3-5 years, urban properties have not declined in value over the last 40 years.
Maybe, its really late and I'm just tired, but this statement doesn't make any sense at all, even if you were to thin slice the time period. Housing prices go up, and they go down. Are you sure he's not trying to drum up business for himself here? And, I wouldn't call investing all your money into different stocks in different industries really diversification, if that's what you were trying to do. Look at what happened to LTCM. They leveraged themselves as much as they could, but tried to hedge their arbritrage trades by going into different foreign markets, etc... In the end, when the Russians defaulted on their loans, all of LTCM's trades went down regardless of how much they thought they had diversified. They got wiped out.
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