Originally Posted by sugarbutch
Speaking of pace and what's doable, I'm trying to figure out what should be my target for NYC. I've checked out the pace predictors which use a time from a shorter run, but I've never done the sort of focused training for those that I'm doing for my first marathon. Should I wait until I'm deeper into my training to set a goal time?
Originally Posted by Beatlegeuse
Same as SB, I'm not sure yet what I'll be able to pace myself at for my half in October. It's my first one, so at this point I'll be happy just to finish it, but maybe I'll set some more realistic goals as it gets closer to race day
Originally Posted by Michigan Planner
For those wondering how to figure out a good marathon pace... I am in the same boat. I am signed up to run with the 3:45 pace group in my marathon but depending on how the two half marathons go, I may decide to go with the 3:30 group instead. Luckily I have a lot of time left to decide.
This is a good topic for discussion. There are quite a few others on here that are far better runners and may have better advice, but here is my 2 cents around pace. Determine what you are trying to accomplish. It's easy if you are looking at breaking a PR, Boston Q, finishing under a certain time, etc. If so, then your pace calculator will do the work.
If it is just trying to figure out "how fast can I go", you have several options.
- A Half marathon within a 4-6 weeks of the race could work for the McMillan calculator to estimate your Marathon pace.
- Run the Yasso 800 workout within a month of your race and see what you can sustain. Those are fairly decent predictors. Google it.
- Run the McMillian "Fast Finish, Long Run". I did this one less than a month from my last marathon and it was within less than 10 away from predicting my actual pace. Very good, very tough run. You run 10 miles at your normal long distance slow run and then run the next 8 miles as fast as you can. The pace of the last 8 miles is what you can sustain for the marathon. You drink and eat as you would during the race and choose a course similar to what you are going to run. McMillan website has an article on this.
Several things can affect your pace or overall time and toss all this out if the weather is bad, a very large crowd slows you down for the first few miles, or you down hydrate/fuel well enough.