Originally Posted by mafoofan
Aravenel, I understand how video cards work. However, no console will ever keep pace with the advancement of graphics processing in average-cost PCs, even if they start out ahead. Also, if I took the money I'd normally sink into a $400 console, and add that onto what I'd pay for an average, new PC, I could easily outperform whatever Sony and Microsoft put out there. Right now. Not next year, not the year after--right now.
Oh, absolutely--consoles are never the cutting edge of performance, and quickly fall behind. The XBox 360 is using basically ancient technology. The reason they are still able to provide decent performance over their lifetime is that because it is a uniform hardware base, developers can wring every ounce of performance out of it--with PCs, there are too many different combinations to do this.
However, the *average* PC right now does not have more graphics power--which is the primary bottleneck--than the new XBox or PS. You could pop a $150 video card in one and outperform it, but stock, most desktop PCs have very little graphics ability because they don't need it for their common tasks. Many new phones actually have more GPU horsepower than a lot of average PCs. This is only speaking for the types of PCs in offices and sold at Office Max and such--its trivial to build a PC with a hell of a lot of GPU horsepower, it's just that average office/internet use doesnt' require that, so it's rarely included out of the box.
To your point however, predicting the future is a dangerous game, and we're all like to be wrong.