Originally Posted by lawyerdad
I think you're getting distorted view over there through the media's commercial interest in making every race look as close as possible.
I get the sense a decent number of people are having their view of the election formed from rather insular internet communities. If you were getting your sense of the election from Reddit or 4chan, you'd think that all liberals HATE Hillary and the only reason she has any votes at all is fraud. You'd think every Trump voter was convinced by his "anti-PC" stance. The Bernie Bros and 14 year old 4chan Trump trolls have a huge voice on the Internet, but they don't tend to really understand the political process or what actually wins elections very well.
The only sensible overlap between Trump and Bernie is the anti-trade rhetoric. I'm not sure how many Democrats leaned that way. It makes sense that Bernie supporters are riled up now, between the convention and the DNC email scandal. If history is any guide (and it usually is), the vast majority of them will come around.
The core "Bernie Bro" voter is the type that usually stayed home. There's a reason Hillary isn't pandering to them. She expects that most of the Bernie voters will come around, and the die-hards will end up smoking weed on their couch on election day. They're not going to vote Trump, and that's the scenario that would really hurt her.
Originally Posted by wojt
"Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. "
there were 2 more polls that showed the same 2days ago CBS Trump+1 and LA Times Trump+4
And Hillary was up by as much as 10% within the last couple weeks. Acting like this is a done deal at this point, right after the Republican convention, is silly.