I think that is a ridiculous statement to make. This al-Qeada or Bashar dichotomy is false. The answer is neither. I fully understand Alan's position as a Christian in Lebanon but in a post-war Syria there can't be any place for Bashar and those complicit in war crimes.
ethan's Musing on the Near East - Page 45
I lol (then cry) when i hear Kerry or Obama talk about whos gonna exist in their postwar Syria.
They intervened in Libya. Did they install a democratic alternative? theres now a savage war there between islamists and god knows who backed by either saudi arabia or qatar.
They intervened in Iraq. Now theyre saying the shiite government is sectarian. Wheres is their democratic alternative? ISIS has half the country and is committing ethnic massacres every day. Yet Saddam was ousted with a fullblown military campaign for alleged WMDs that didnt exist.
This dichotomy is not false. Its what exists on the ground. You can dress up as many opposition figurines in Turkey that noone has heard about in suits all you want, what exists on the ground is the regime and the islamists.
The international community can do whatever it wants. Sanctions, pressure, whatever. Hell if they had a military canpaign it would have been a better alternative.
But for christs sake dont have NATO members arming alqaeda...
Why not? It worked in
Iraq with Saddam, Shah in Iran, Mubarak in Egypt, Thani in Bahrain and Now Saudi in Yemen. They all enjoyed full support of US until their time was up and provided no further use.
This BS is so similar to Salafi whispers claiming that Baghdadi was a sufi before he was locked up by US. Nobody becomes a goon overnight until they are getting paid or have a corrupt ideology to begin with
Edited by the shah - 5/18/15 at 6:01pm
Yes, we ask for a stand because the future of Shaam is not in the hands of US, SA or Turkey, it's in our hands, the Mujahideen of Shaam...
This is a Dutch-born Nusra guy. Does he really believe that their future is not in the hands of other states? Delusions on top of delusions.
Id say the average arab conspiracy theorist is once again closer to the truth than the head in the sand westerner
THE GENERAL SITUATION:
A. INTERNALLY, EVENTS ARE TAKING A CLEAR SECTARIAN DIRECTION.
B. THE SALAFIST [sic], THE MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD, AND AQI ARE THE MAJOR FORCES DRIVING THE INSURGENCY IN SYRIA.
C. THE WEST, GULF COUNTRIES, AND TURKEY SUPPORT THE OPPOSITION; WHILE RUSSIA, CHINA AND IRAN SUPPORT THE REGIME.
3. (C) Al QAEDA – IRAQ (AQI):… B. AQI SUPPORTED THE SYRIAN OPPOSITION FROM THE BEGINNING, BOTH IDEOLOGICALLY AND THROUGH THE MEDIA…
4.D. THERE WAS A REGRESSION OF AQI IN THE WESTERN PROVINCES OF IRAQ DURING THE YEARS OF 2009 AND 2010; HOWEVER, AFTER THE RISE OF THE INSURGENCY IN SYRIA, THE RELIGIOUS AND TRIBAL POWERS IN THE REGIONS BEGAN TO SYMPATHIZE WITH THE SECTARIAN UPRISING. THIS (SYMPATHY) APPEARED IN FRIDAY PRAYER SERMONS, WHICH CALLED FOR VOLUNTEERS TO SUPPORT THE SUNNI’S [sic] IN SYRIA.
7. (C) THE FUTURE ASSUMPTIONS OF THE CRISIS:
A. THE REGIME WILL SURVIVE AND HAVE CONTROL OVER SYRIAN TERRITORY.
B. DEVELOPMENT OF THE CURRENT EVENTS INTO PROXY WAR: …OPPOSITION FORCES ARE TRYING TO CONTROL THE EASTERN AREAS (HASAKA AND DER ZOR), ADJACENT TO THE WESTERN IRAQI PROVINCES (MOSUL AND ANBAR), IN ADDITION TO NEIGHBORING TURKISH BORDERS. WESTERN COUNTRIES, THE GULF STATES AND TURKEY ARE SUPPORTING THESE EFFORTS. THIS HYPOTHESIS IS MOST LIKELY IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE DATA FROM RECENT EVENTS, WHICH WILL HELP PREPARE SAFE HAVENS UNDER INTERNATIONAL SHELTERING, SIMILAR TO WHAT TRANSPIRED IN LIBYA WHEN BENGHAZI WAS CHOSEN AS THE COMMAND CENTER OF THE TEMPORARY GOVERNMENT.
8.C. IF THE SITUATION UNRAVELS THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF ESTABLISHING A DECLARED OR UNDECLARED SALAFIST PRINCIPALITY IN EASTERN SYRIA (HASAKA AND DER ZOR), AND THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT THE SUPPORTING POWERS TO THE OPPOSITION WANT, IN ORDER TO ISOLATE THE SYRIAN REGIME, WHICH IS CONSIDERED THE STRATEGIC DEPTH OF THE SHIA EXPANSION (IRAQ AND IRAN)
8.D.1. …ISI COULD ALSO DECLARE AN ISLAMIC STATE THROUGH ITS UNION WITH OTHER TERRORIST ORGANIZATIONS IN IRAQ AND SYRIA, WHICH WILL CREATE GRAVE DANGER IN REGARDS TO UNIFYING IRAQ AND THE PROTECTION OF ITS TERRITORY., WHICH WILL CREATE GRAVE DANGER IN REGARDS TO UNIFYING IRAQ AND THE PROTECTION OF ITS TERRITORY.