No, it's really not.
ethan's Musing on the Near East - Page 75
This wouldn't be an x attack as you see it, am I correct?
My train of thought is that all attacks thus far in the name of the Islamic State have received no official instructions, training, or support from the Islamic State. I don't see that changing. There is a lot of unnecessary handwringing about terrorism.
This is a difference between ISIS and AQ. ISIS has staked their legitimacy on the taking and holding of territory whereas AQ has always been more nebulous and more concerned with striking the West than creating an emirate or caliphate. When ISIS announced it's "caliphate" it really through AQ for a loop. AQ talks of emirate and caliphates before that were always kind of aspirational with the tone that it's never going to actually happen.
We all know it's going to happen, but not when and where, which essentially is the meaning of terror(izing).
Edited by Find Finn - 9/19/15 at 10:11am
The biggest threat to european society long term isn't terror or the threat there of, but our societies buckling under the pressure of the wellfare states and too many unemployed people, combined with rising extremism.
Some experts have started talking about a new recession or going back into recession, due to investors loosing trust in the markets, partly as a result of the immigrant crisis, but also China etc.
Most countries are just out of the last recession and southern ones like Italy, Spain, Greece and Portugal are not even close to being out of the woods. They can't sustain another influx of unemployment, as they haven't been able to save up funds to support their population through the last 7ish years of recession and by no means the thousands/millions of new residents, they are also going to have enormous issues creating infrastructure such as schools and homes.
If we go back into recession, things are going to get really interesting, really quick.
Edited by the shah - 9/19/15 at 7:00pm
I was having a conversation with a usually reliable army intelligence officer who mentioned that the latest influx of refugees was orchestrated on a state level and that they received info that the smugglers had all received a certain green light at the same time period to start a massive operation. I understood the state to be referring to turkey.
Also the percent figure from the minister was out of his ass but they have a lot of names of isis/nusra fighters that have left camps and went to europe among refugees.
I have moved my answer to the thread about immigrant in Europe, as it's better suited for that thread.
ive skimmed through the document, where do you see iranian militias ? i spotted iraqi shi'i ones, funded and armed by US and Iran (modified soviet crap) but not direct forces from that country
I mean, it wouldn't surprise me, but I've just not seen it