#1 - NO
#2 - YES, almost a certainty with FedEX
#3 - Rolling the dice - 50/50 - Although I've been hit on everything recently
#4 - FedEx Business Acct is easier, and likely less expensive than post. And much better service.
With the 15% off, free shipping and getting hit, its a good deal right now. I ran the #'s this am. If you want a pair of Bonafe or Carmina, go for it!