For what it is worth, that age demographic projections are a little unrealistic. Projects that only 12% of the voters will be ages 18-29.
2012 put that demo at 19%.
2008 had it at 18%
2004 had it at 17%
My guess is that their likely voter screen puts too much weight on past voting behavior for determining the lv's.
I would use 17% for 18-29 and adjust the others accordingly.
The racial demographics are better than the age demographics, but I think I would use 69 to 71% white, 12 to 13% for african american, and 11 to 14% hispanic, 3% asian and 2% other rather than the numbers this poll uses. It appears the pollster just got a little lazy and used the 2012 numbers.Edited by NoVaguy - 5/13/16 at 9:37am