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Trump is #2 in GOP Field - Page 17

post #241 of 8748
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ataturk View Post

How about any election in Louisiana with its free-for-all primaries involving two Republicans and a Democrat?
Was thinking more like Presidential level. State level elections get all sorts of wacky stuff.

Quote:
Herman Cain?

Probably not too far off, but he had some of the scandal element tank his campaign.

2012 was another weird campaign. Win-by-default Romney, the only candidate to survive the race.
post #242 of 8748
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ataturk View Post

Herman Cain?

How about any election in Louisiana with its free-for-all primaries involving two Republicans and a Democrat?

I think any candidate without elected politics experience leading in the polls gets dismissed. Not saying that Trump has a shot, but the last non-politician (or war hero) running for President that was taken seriously was Forbes.
post #243 of 8748
Quote:
Originally Posted by brokencycle View Post

I think any candidate without elected politics experience leading in the polls gets dismissed. Not saying that Trump has a shot, but the last non-politician (or war hero) running for President that was taken seriously was Forbes.

They're usually right too, although it's certainly possible that the dismission by the media plays a role in their campaigns not taking off. Kind of a chicken-egg thing there.
post #244 of 8748
It happens every election cycle. Trump has a higher than average jump due to his entertainment value, but he will collapse soon. He certainly won't survive the year.

EDIT -

Perry, Santorum and Gingrich in '92 had higher highs than Trump, up in the 30s before they crashed and burned.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html
post #245 of 8748
Quote:
Originally Posted by Harold falcon View Post

It happens every election cycle. Trump has a higher than average jump due to his entertainment value, but he will collapse soon. He certainly won't survive the year.

He'll collapse in the next week. No way he's going to disclose his net worth to get in the debate.
post #246 of 8748
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ataturk View Post

Herman Cain?

How about any election in Louisiana with its free-for-all primaries involving two Republicans and a Democrat?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Harold falcon View Post

It happens every election cycle. Trump has a higher than average jump due to his entertainment value, but he will collapse soon. He certainly won't survive the year.

EDIT -

Perry, Santorum and Gingrich in '92 had higher highs than Trump, up in the 30s before they crashed and burned.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html

I thought the McCain comments would be Trump's Herman Cain moment, but apparently polls taken after the incident show otherwise. Anything Trump does now, short of defecating on national television, will likely become irrelevant since his debate performance is going to overshadow all of it.

Trump is just a unique candidate, and I don't mean that in a good way or bad way. It's difficult to compare and predict his poll numbers to those of previous candidates/elections.
post #247 of 8748
Quote:
Originally Posted by brokencycle View Post

He'll collapse in the next week. No way he's going to disclose his net worth to get in the debate.

http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/fec-releases-trumps-full-financial-disclosure-report/ar-AAdlwf4?ocid=mailsignout

Looks like he's in it to win it.
post #248 of 8748
Quote:

Woah. Surprised he actually went through with that.
post #249 of 8748
A Bill Maher poll shows Trump leading with 98% of the vote among primates.

post #250 of 8748
Humans are technically primates.
post #251 of 8748
Quote:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gibonius View Post

Woah. Surprised he actually went through with that.

Yeah, of course they show a networth 10% of what he is claiming publicly, but the disclosure neither confirms nor denies his public statements.

Most concerning is that he has branded mattresses. Who would buy a "Trump Mark" mattress?
post #252 of 8748
Quote:
Originally Posted by suited View Post


I thought the McCain comments would be Trump's Herman Cain moment, but apparently polls taken after the incident show otherwise. Anything Trump does now, short of defecating on national television, will likely become irrelevant since his debate performance is going to overshadow all of it.


My understanding is the poll period in question covered a 3 day period, with 2 of those days prior to the McCain comments. I was not aware of something more current.
post #253 of 8748
Trump is a guilty pleasure among many voters. They want to see DC, NY, SF, and Hollywood chainsawed.
post #254 of 8748
If he wins will he stop selling his name to any crappy building in the world... if so lets see him win it
post #255 of 8748
This is the most fun election ever since I've been able to vote. I'm 30. Every day there is some water cooler talk about Trump at the office. I think if I ran for president when I was 16, Id be just like Trump is now. Sometimes I regret losing that fighting spirit and spontaneity, so I live vicariously through The Donald.

Really great New Yorker cover art:

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