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Cotton Prices

post #1 of 23
Thread Starter 
I'm surprised no one has mentioned the increase of cotton prices and the impact it will have to clothing. Is there anyone here who trades in commodities that can give us a better insight if prices will increase or if eventually they will recede back down?
post #2 of 23
Cotton for the fabric is a much larger part of the cost in making, say, blue jeans, than it is in making a dress shirt. Or any fine clothing, really.
post #3 of 23
Shit's crazy right now. I'm not a trader but I work with cotton daily and it's just out of control. Wool and Leather prices are going up at unbelievable rates too. What's essentially happening is this: Now that China is super-rich and not everyone's bitch anymore, they're buying up huge lots of raw materials since they can buy them is such enormous quantities, that they basically control all of it. The next step they take (and I've heard this from several mills and tanneries that I work with it's happening more and more every day) is that the Chinese will buy the mills and tanneries. So they have a monopoly on raw materials and the production of finished goods. Then, of course, everything is made in China already, so they do all these backroom reach-around type deals with each other and everyone gets richer at an astounding rate. TL;DR: China is fucking us all over after being slaves to the rest of the modern world forever. Reparations: Kung-Fu Style. Chinese Cotton Hoarding in WSJ
post #4 of 23
Thread Starter 
Why does this feel like a massive bubble?
post #5 of 23
Quote:
Originally Posted by imageWIS View Post
Why does this feel like a massive bubble?

It's another bubble, ask your friends the socialists freemasons.. that control everything and the trilateral.
post #6 of 23
Quote:
Originally Posted by imageWIS View Post
Why does this feel like a massive bubble?

Because it is.
post #7 of 23
it feels like a bubble because its a commodity and the price has doubled in 6 months.

also, a lot of strange weather has effecting many commodities -- ook at what has happened in australia.
post #8 of 23
By Debarati Roy
Feb. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Cotton topped $2 a pound in New York
for the first time ever as accelerating global growth boosted
demand for garments manufactured in China, the world's biggest
consumer and importer, amid shrinking global supplies.
China's apparel exports in January surged 34 percent from a
year earlier to $13.38 billion, the Customs Bureau said this
week. Stockpiles monitored by ICE Futures U.S. have plunged 84
percent since June 1. Flooding in Australia and Pakistan and
drought in Russia and other parts of Europe have reduced output.
Textile mills are buying more fiber as the global economy
recovered from the worst recession since World War II. Costs may
rise for U.S. retailers including Gap Inc., J.C. Penney Co.
because cotton has more than doubled in the past 12 months. Olah
Inc., a U.S. apparel manufacturer that supplies Gap, said it
raised prices for "several products."
"The bulls have gone berserk, and it looks like they want
prices to go higher," said Sid Love , the president of Joe Kropf
& Sid Love Consulting Services LLC in Overland Park, Kansas.
"China's demand still remains strong."
Cotton for May delivery rose by the exchange limit of 7
s, or 3.6 percent, to settle at a record $2.0193 on ICE
res U.S. at 2:41 p.m. in New York. Prices have gained 39
ent in 2011, the most of any of the 19 commodities in the
son Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index.
"There was short-covering by textile mills," said Mike
ens, an independent trader in Mandeville, Louisiana.
Trading in cotton options was halted by the exchange, which
rmined that the synthetic price change for contracts was at
t two times the daily limit, ICE said today in a statement.
post #9 of 23
Quote:
Originally Posted by imageWIS View Post
Why does this feel like a massive bubble?

Oh, definitely, the way that China is going right now, they're headed for catastrophic failure. Everything will fall apart once the general population realizes how fucked it is.

However, considering that Joe Public only buys 'Made In China' products and will for as long as they can pay less for them and buy the shit at Walmart, this cycle will continue for a while longer. Until production moves to some other 3rd world shithole, we're stuck with it. However China still controls the raw materials and until they're completely flushed down the toilet, they'll keep the prices high for everyone but their own people. Who knows where this is going, but it will not be good for anyone.
post #10 of 23
You look at sugar prices lately? Or corn? Wheat? Shit's getting expensive.
post #11 of 23
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dakota rube View Post
You look at sugar prices lately?
Or corn?
Wheat?

Shit's getting expensive.

Kinda glad I have some bourbon stockpiled right about now.
post #12 of 23
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dakota rube View Post
You look at sugar prices lately?
Or corn?
Wheat?

Shit's getting expensive.

Other than ticker symbol DBA, I only buy cotton in Savannah:






not really, but I wish . . .
post #13 of 23
Quote:
Originally Posted by imageWIS View Post
I'm surprised no one has mentioned the increase of cotton prices and the impact it will have to clothing. Is there anyone here who trades in commodities that can give us a better insight if prices will increase or if eventually they will recede back down?

Huge article about this in the Journal today. They were talking to a lot of designers at NY fashion week who are changing designs to meet the increased cost of materials. Shorter skirts, not using cashmire where they normally would and shipping by boat instead of plane.
post #14 of 23
Shorter skirts!
post #15 of 23
countdown until USD are worth less than the paper they're printed on? in 3 ... 2 ... 1 ... lulz
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