lawyerdad
Lying Dog-faced Pony Soldier
- Joined
- Mar 10, 2006
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I agree with Rambo's comments generally, but the premise of the question is flawed. Past results /=/ future performance, etc. You can setting betting odds, but that's not really a mathematical expression of the likelihood of a particular outcome. And even in that context, as a soft predictive factor and factoring out the variables Rambo refers to, the .600/.400 thing probably means a lot more in , say, September than in April.
too many variables. you need to narrow it down. are the #1's of both teams starting? is everyone healthy? over a series, its a little easier to predict. for one game, its basically an odds crap shoot. probably 6-in-10.
I agree with Rambo's comments generally, but the premise of the question is flawed. Past results /=/ future performance, etc. You can setting betting odds, but that's not really a mathematical expression of the likelihood of a particular outcome. And even in that context, as a soft predictive factor and factoring out the variables Rambo refers to, the .600/.400 thing probably means a lot more in , say, September than in April.