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2016 MLB Season Thread - Page 273

post #4081 of 5149
He's gotten hot at the plate he should come back and play another year carry his momentum over into next season.
post #4082 of 5149
Woe is us: 11-4, Twins.

Brad Ausmus needs to channel his inner Charlie Dressen: "Stay close, boys, I'll think of something"

post #4083 of 5149
Sigh.
post #4084 of 5149
Sunday. Game 162. 7th inning. All we have is a 1-0 lead...
Meanwhile, today, the White Sox are not going to help us out.
The only reassuring factor is that David Price is pitching.

I hope that if the bull pen is needed, one of the available starters is used. "All hands on deck!"
post #4085 of 5149
Victory!!!!!!!!!!!
post #4086 of 5149
The St. Louis Cardinals have finally clinched the division. I really thought the Pirates were going to overtake them.
post #4087 of 5149
^ That's cool. It will just make it all the more awesome when they lose to the Dodgers.
post #4088 of 5149
I think we might be looking at a repeat of the 1985 World Series, except with modern day video review of umpires' calls (and thus different result).
post #4089 of 5149
What a fucking game.....and it still ain't over!
post #4090 of 5149
Thread Starter 
Even without Kila Ka'aihue and Vin Mazarro, the Royals are still my Royals.
post #4091 of 5149
That was the most exciting game I've watched this year.
post #4092 of 5149
Quote:
Originally Posted by bdeuce22 View Post

That was the most exciting game I've watched this year.

I dozed off on my sofa briefly towards the end of the top of the 8th. Woke up towards the end of the bottom of that inning and said.."SHIT!"

Agree....great game...
post #4093 of 5149

Epic season collapse for the A's. It might be the worst 2nd half collapse in baseball history. 

post #4094 of 5149
Amazing game last night. Hosmer almost single-handedly saved the Royals' season by working the count, hitting a triple, and heading home on a slow chopper up the middle to score the tying run.

Question for all the sabermetricians out there. Baseball conventional wisdom is that late in a tie game with no outs and a man on first base, you sacrifice the man over to second base. Both teams did this reflexively. I've read that conventional wisdom is wrong and that you are statistically better off not trading an out for a runner in scoring position. Is conventional wisdom wrong? Does it depend on who is at the plate?
post #4095 of 5149

The answer is complicated and there are many factors to consider. Bunting is almost never a good decision when you are trying to maximize expected runs. It really hurts the chances of a big inning. This is why managers are (rightly) criticized for bunting early in games. Ned Yost is notorious for this, see the #Yosted hashtag on Twitter. There was a series against Detroit sometime in the last month where KC had two early inning bunts against Scherzer resulting in zero runs. One could make the case that Yost's managing has cost KC several games this year. KC lost the division by only 1 game; they probably could have avoided the WC game with a better manager.

 

Bunting late in the game can make sense as a strategy to score 1 run, but not multiple runs. If your team has inferior hitters (like the Royals), bunting makes more sense. Of course, in this game Yost called for at least one ridiculous bunt. I can't remember the exact situation, but he had an incredibly fast runner at 1st and bunted him over to 2nd. This was with Norris catching, who can't throw out anyone. On the next batter, the runner stole 3rd. You're willing to let your baserunner steal 3rd, but had to bunt him to 2nd!? Makes absolutely zero sense.

 

And of course, you have to take into account the defensive alignment and the particular players involved. There is an equilibrium point where bunting makes less sense due to the defenders charging, but if you can entice them in, it makes it easier to get a hit. Game theory. Also, bunting with the potential for a hit is often a very good play. Some hitters are better at bunting than others. Etc.

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