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Talking stocks, trading, and investing in general - Page 175

post #2611 of 5657
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hampton View Post

Thanks, just checked it out! What do you think in general of facebook to put some cash in right now while it's low. From my feeling I think it will get even worse, google + is becoming something, yes?

I have avoided trading FB because I don't have a strong grasp on where it's going. You could say the same for Wall Street analysts, as price targets vary greatly.

 

I have argued that the stock is overvalued since prior to the IPO. However, growth tech stocks can take off and double in a few months with little regard for the stock's intrinsic value, so I don't really have the stones to short it.

 

Presently, don't forget about the expiring lock up periods coming up. If you are looking to buy and hold, I would wait till after these. Short-term, I think we could get a pop. Earnings weren't down 12% bad.

post #2612 of 5657
Quote:
Originally Posted by RedLeg View Post

I have avoided trading FB because I don't have a strong grasp on where it's going. You could say the same for Wall Street analysts, as price targets vary greatly.

 

I have argued that the stock is overvalued since prior to the IPO. However, growth tech stocks can take off and double in a few months with little regard for the stock's intrinsic value, so I don't really have the stones to short it.

 

Presently, don't forget about the expiring lock up periods coming up. If you are looking to buy and hold, I would wait till after these. Short-term, I think we could get a pop. Earnings weren't down 12% bad.

Hmm, yeah you are right. Thanks for the info man.

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FB

post #2613 of 5657
FB is definitely long-term, 1-3 year play. Personally, I wouldn't touch that shit with a 3925 foot pole.
post #2614 of 5657
Quote:
Originally Posted by GreenFrog View Post

FB is definitely long-term, 1-3 year play. Personally, I wouldn't touch that shit with a 3925 foot pole.

I'm boucing off from it. I'm to scared to touch tech-stocks. But sometimes you can get a nickle off it on the fast way up.

post #2615 of 5657
nice bounce from Aapl today.

Amrn is still adjusting.

Caught a nice wave with CRUS.
post #2616 of 5657
I escaped the depths of deep red in AAPL within a week and am now marginally green.

smile.gif
post #2617 of 5657
Any guesses on whether the Fed and ECB are gonna spur a rally or dissapoint? biggrin.gif
post #2618 of 5657
Quote:
Originally Posted by CYstyle View Post

Any guesses on whether the Fed and ECB are gonna spur a rally or dissapoint? biggrin.gif

A high probability of QE3 has been priced in for a while. The only way to go is down in the event Bernanke decides to play his violin while the US burns...
post #2619 of 5657
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pennglock View Post


A high probability of QE3 has been priced in for a while. The only way to go is down in the event Bernanke decides to play his violin while the US burns...

 

Equities is the only asset class that does not price for a worldwide slowdown/resession/depression.  Not only US equities, but Italy/Spain/EU equities as well.  All equities in EU/US are diverging from credit/commodities.  Central planning hard at work.  Now they just need to short the front month vol to masquerade the 'fear' lol.

 

whatever it is, i would rather they just announce QE/LTRO this week to remove the uncertainty.  Or have grexit or finexit or china/japan collapse right now.  all these uncertainty feels exactly like september of last year.  everyone is anticipating the central planners while the central planners are anticipating the market.

post #2620 of 5657
Quote:
Originally Posted by CalTex View Post


I was also reading a report about their stock being valued at 18 dollars a share but I didn't save it, I believe it was from marketwatch. The analyst went into more detail, you might find it interesting.

 

$18/share sounds still a bit too aggressive for a display advertising company under the suspicion of click-fraud.  it probably does not discount for the lack of voting rights.

 

other tangential market potentials?  lol, faceberg sucks compare to tencent, gree, de-n-a, etc for the social aspect and monetization.

post #2621 of 5657
Quote:
Originally Posted by djblisk View Post

Amrn is still adjusting.

Nice little bear raid on that one...I love how these articles pulled the May 9 insider selling and reported on it like it was new information after FDA approval. Nice.
post #2622 of 5657

The FB expiring lockup period ending should really scare the bejeesus out of people.  It's pretty much unconscionable to buy the stock at the moment knowing that something like 5x as many shares will be flooding the market before year end.  Sounds really high, but I read that in an article recently--could be wrong.  

 

But still, employees are going to want to sell sell sell the second it's lifted.  Imo, this is closer to a $13 stock than $20 or even the $18 value floating around.  

post #2623 of 5657
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dbear View Post

The FB expiring lockup period ending should really scare the bejeesus out of people.  It's pretty much unconscionable to buy the stock at the moment knowing that something like 5x as many shares will be flooding the market before year end.  Sounds really high, but I read that in an article recently--could be wrong.  

 

But still, employees are going to want to sell sell sell the second it's lifted.  Imo, this is closer to a $13 stock than $20 or even the $18 value floating around.  

Which article?

post #2624 of 5657
If I remember correctly it was an article on marketwatch, I will see if I can find it and post it later on today.
post #2625 of 5657
Ugh. I should have sold my position in GLUU (then rebought at the drop).
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Also, thoughts on a Roth IRA?
Edited by Aeneas - 8/2/12 at 5:08am
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