Quote:
Originally Posted by cldpsu 
I'm sure you don't want to sound like you have bronchitis 24/7, so I'd just do it in moderation and look for signs.
Could we really get personally informative feedback from such probabilities (started smoking at age x, smoked y amount a day, and quit smoking at age z)?
If what others mentioned about the relationship of lung regeneration and cancer is true, than how could this test reflect a similar state of lung regeneration at the given age you're considering to start and quit? They would have to conduct several tests which reflect different amounts of regeneration, and I don't know to what extent they would study everyone to learn this and categorize them accordingly. Also, not all cigarettes were created equal, right? That should probably alter things as well. Is a cigarette more or less harmful when smoked with food, or when coupled with something else? Is there a different effect in smoking 10 all at once, or spacing them at every hour, every 2 hours, and if there is, would you follow the routine properly to be accurate? You wouldn't want to accidentally die, haha
Just some ideas I'm thinking about. I understand your desire for concrete data, but it seems rather difficult to get an estimated time, although I'm sure you don't expect to have the date you get cancer marked on your calendar.
Could we really get personally informative feedback from such probabilities (started smoking at age x, smoked y amount a day, and quit smoking at age z)?
If what others mentioned about the relationship of lung regeneration and cancer is true, than how could this test reflect a similar state of lung regeneration at the given age you're considering to start and quit? They would have to conduct several tests which reflect different amounts of regeneration, and I don't know to what extent they would study everyone to learn this and categorize them accordingly. Also, not all cigarettes were created equal, right? That should probably alter things as well. Is a cigarette more or less harmful when smoked with food, or when coupled with something else? Is there a different effect in smoking 10 all at once, or spacing them at every hour, every 2 hours, and if there is, would you follow the routine properly to be accurate? You wouldn't want to accidentally die, haha
Just some ideas I'm thinking about. I understand your desire for concrete data, but it seems rather difficult to get an estimated time, although I'm sure you don't expect to have the date you get cancer marked on your calendar.
First, I already found the statistics I was looking for...I posted the link. Second, the things you're trying to take into consideration are irrelevant. The question was: how many people die from cancer if they smoke x amount starting at age y and stopping at age z. The website compares this number to those who never smoked and those who always smoked...
None of it is claiming to tell you personally whether you'll die or not. Just the probability that you have a combination of traits that will lead you to dying from lung cancer. What this will tell you is the proportion of people in the past who have died of lung cancer due to a certain unlucky combination of genetics, environment, and personal habits. If the number is relatively low, some would say that it's worth the risk.
