Originally Posted by Steve B.
They can make it physical inside, but not outside. Allen and Conley are great defenders, but off the dribble and in the lanes. No defense for spot up 3s.
If Spurs can stay at -5 inside they will win because they will be +5-10 on outside shooting. Plus Spurs are better free throw shooting team.
You obviously did not see the first 2 round Memphis played so I will give you a pass. Memphis shut down Durant & CP3, both good off the dribble players. Both teams also has good spot up 3 point shooters, see Martin, Thabo, Durant, Fisher, Crawford, Butler, etc... Prince length is a problem and Allen can defend the best of them. Conley and like Bayless can go toe to toe with Parker, the Spurs can be contained.
I am not sure what you mean the Spurs can stay -5 on the inside but + 5-10 on the outside, Parker made those two clutch 3s to save the game but everyone knows he isn't their #1 choice to shoot the 3. Hell even the commentators int he last game said "they got the right guy they want to take 3's" when speaking about the Warriors defense, Parker just happens to sink both. Spurs has Green & Lenard & Boner & Diaw but again, Conley, Prince & Allen are great perimeter defender, you have to be to stop CP3 and Durant and they get help when someone penetrates, Zach and Marc are right there on the paint.
Granted OKC was shorthanded w/o Westbrook and VDN sucks for the Clips so Spurs already got a leg up over those two but none of the regular season games really mattered because Prince improved the Memphis team and they look much better w/o Gay. Zach is also much healthier.
I am not really saying the Spurs are going to lose, like I said before it is a toss up because both teams could adapt. Memphis lost bother their first game of the series and bounce back to win 4 in a row, they know how to dictate the phase of the game for their preference and Hollins isn't shy about taking timeouts when they aren't playing their game, even if they are up by 20. So this becomes of a game of chess really on match-ups and timing and how the phase is dictated. There are numerous games where the Grizz bigs have been in foul trouble and Hollins still managed their minutes well and pull out a win with one of the bigs on the bench.
It'll be an interesting series.