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# Random health and exercise thoughts - Page 2711

Fuck that I'm broke. It's 1,030 too? Don't forget the 30, that could be what breaks it for me. Means I'd have to do 430, 400, 200. or something like that.
Hey rhet, I was woundering if you could give me a little help with a problem im trying to solve. Im doing an actuarial module and one of the things we study is continuous time markhov chain processes. Obviously being an actuarial module we apply it to life insurance, but I thought i'd take a break from it and try apply it to something which is very important to all of us, coldsnaps total. I'm modeling it as having 3 states, 800a, 900b and 1000c. Here is the diagram with the states and the relevant intensities.

Trying to work out what the forward equation P(b,c)[t,u] is. t is current time, u is a future time, which for our case could be january first 2015. This would be very simple if the intensities y2 and z2 didn't exist because then this would be just like an active, inactive, dead markhov chain, but coldsnaps total has gone from 1000 back down to 900 so it wouldn't be realistic.

Would it be

(d/du)P(b,c)[t,u]=P(b,b)(y1)+P(b,a)(z1)-P(b,c)(z2+y2)

obvs all intensities are functions of time. Obviously this is not the most realistic model because his total can take any value making Z infinite, but fuck that, 3 states was hard enough to think about.
Christ, lol. I mean if we can figure this out with an equation, that would save me a lot of effort and pain.
It's quite beautiful isn't it? Seeing a real life application of a modeling technique created over 100 years ago for I believe modeling the probability of picking different coloured beans from a pot. Do you think Andrey Markhov would ever have thought his creation would be used years later to argue over internet boards? I'm sure at the very least he'd find it more interesting then modeling life expectancy.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Coldsnap

Fuck that I'm broke. It's 1,030 too? Don't forget the 30, that could be what breaks it for me.
Means I'd have to do 430, 400, 200. or something like that.

I don't even care about the 30, just 1000.
225 bench, 370 squart and 405 deadlift. Get that, I think you've said your bench max was 205? You could slap 20lbs on there, consider it a non factor, squat and dead lift is all you gotta worry about
We making Coldsnap pause that bench too?
Dunno, what would Dan Green say phaggot? jk <3 you bacon

All this bench talk. Just hit 200 for single. New PR...
Quote:
Originally Posted by VLSI

All this bench talk. Just hit 200 for single. New PR...

Congrats! I just did this too on Tuesday.

Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkI

Quest bars are the best out of all the ones I tried, but I still hate how all these protein bars are mad chewy.

Put quest bar in microwave for 5-10 seconds. Hnngnggggggg.
Up to 192lb, still have veins through my delts and onto my chest when I'm pumped. Can see dem delt striations when I do like front raises. Still have my phaggy time 30" uniqlo jeggings waist.

Goal is 18 more lb then drop down to 190. Loving the bodybuilding training, behind the neck smith machine press is some good shit.
you on dat dere yet?
Man... you need some size on you dude. Letting those broad shoulders go to waste.
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