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SF Fantasy Baseball League 2009 - Page 45

post #661 of 1312
Quote:
Originally Posted by Buster View Post
Regarding Votto - I was debating whether to take him that early, but his PECOTA number "blinded" me. I am open to trades of course. Everyone is on the trading block.

Oh my... we have a PECOTA person here. God help us all.

Do you pay for Baseball Prospectus?

I have other websites where i get my weird stats... like BABIP and stuff like that
post #662 of 1312
One of the main reasons I dont waste early or mid rd picks on closers...
post #663 of 1312
Quote:
Originally Posted by JSC4President View Post
Oh my... we have a PECOTA person here. God help us all.

Do you pay for Baseball Prospectus?

I have other websites where i get my weird stats... like BABIP and stuff like that

Whats PECOTA?
post #664 of 1312
Quote:
Originally Posted by WhateverYouLike View Post
Whats PECOTA?


a stats projection system that uses regression analysis and some other super quant type bullshit. lol

go to baseball prosepctus (google it) to get a better explanation

As far as Votto's PECOTA.. it depends on what % you are looking at. Everyone has a good PECOTA for the higher %'s. I tend to be more moderate in the PECOTA projections. I go to the lower levels.
post #665 of 1312
Quote:
Originally Posted by JSC4President View Post
Oh my... we have a PECOTA person here. God help us all.

Do you pay for Baseball Prospectus?

I have other websites where i get my weird stats... like BABIP and stuff like that

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tokyo Slim View Post
One of the main reasons I dont waste early or mid rd picks on closers...

I hope you both remember all this baseball nerd speak at the end of the season when you're 5th and 7th respectively.
post #666 of 1312
Quote:
Originally Posted by blackdarkeye View Post
Jorge Posada
Aubrey Huff
Dan Uggla
Adrián Béltre
Jimmy Rollins
Vladimir Guerrero
Matt Holliday
Nate McLouth
Johnny Damon

Bench
Nick Swisher
Adam Lind

Johan Santana
Daisuke Matsuzaka
Joe Nathan
Joakim Soria
Justin Verlander
Ted Lilly
Mike Pelfrey

Bench
Ben Sheets
Justin Duchscherer
Joel Hanrahan


i think its decent. Lot of power hitters. Great relivers. Decent starters.

Where the hell did Sheets go?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Slopho View Post
Well, it looks like Hoffman's on the DL. Who picked him up??

I had him.

Stacking with good starters worked for me last season and I was no. 1 most of the 2nd half. But Slim was the only guy I couldn't beat (tied once) because he had a more balanced team, and I got SPANKED in the finals.

I have a better hitting team this year and better relievers. But my steals are a joke.
post #667 of 1312
Originally posted by JSC4President Do you pay for Baseball Prospectus? I do pay. I have a league (not this league), that I cannot do too bad in. PECOTA bounds from below your ability to screw up.
post #668 of 1312
I need closer help...Capps is solid, but Percival is probably going to be iffy. And 2 closers is a bummer. Usually I roll with 4 closers.

With Ervin Santana, Oswalt, Baker, and Carpenter, Im hoping I'll be competitive in ERA/WHIP. I doubt I'll ever beat anyone in K's though.

My offense is diesel. 15 hrs a week minimum. Phear me.
post #669 of 1312
4 closers? Holy jeebus. That is a poor rate of return on pitching in my opinion. Closer has the most volatile downside of any position in fantasy baseball. One or two runs allowed can blow your ERA and WHIP numbers through the roof.
post #670 of 1312
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slopho View Post
I hope you both remember all this baseball nerd speak at the end of the season when you're 5th and 7th respectively.

I'm going to go out on a limb and guess that if I finish lower than second, it will be due to injury or drastic underperformance the likes of which are unprecedented in the anals of SF fantasy baseball. I said Anals.
post #671 of 1312
Quote:
Originally Posted by Buster View Post
Regarding Votto - I was debating whether to take him that early, but his PECOTA number "blinded" me. I am open to trades of course. Everyone is on the trading block.

Yeah, he's projected for greatness by everyone this year. 1B is also really shallow past the top guys, so a reach is kind of justifie given your next best option is Carlos Pena or Chris Davis.
post #672 of 1312
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tokyo Slim View Post
I'm going to go out on a limb and guess that if I finish lower than second, it will be due to injury or drastic underperformance the likes of which are unprecedented in the anals of SF fantasy baseball. I said Anals.

Wow, what lofty goals. No lower than 2nd. Good luck, I mean that.
post #673 of 1312
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slopho View Post
Wow, what lofty goals. No lower than 2nd. Good luck, I mean that.
Well I didn't want to sound arrogant by saying that I'm going to steamroll the league, even though thats how I feel. I figure second place is suitably humble. Which team are you again?
post #674 of 1312
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tokyo Slim View Post
Well I didn't want to sound arrogant by saying that I'm going to steamroll the league, even though thats how I feel. I figure second place is suitably humble.

Which team are you again?

The tiniest underbelly he has are the health of A-Rod and Hamels. Otherwise we're screwed

I wonder where I can get a Japanese voodoo doll. Perhaps that will finally break the curse
post #675 of 1312
Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve B. View Post
The tiniest underbelly he has are the health of A-Rod and Hamels. Otherwise we're screwed

I wonder where I can get a Japanese voodoo doll. Perhaps that will finally break the curse

You have to get a Japanese/Irish voodoo doll... Good luck finding one of those!
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