Agree here that the snuff may not work as well in the winter, but that is region/climate specific.
Agreed, and the difference in cost is only $50, absent a sale. For me, it comes down to which color I want.
This shoe is on the Forest last, which I find to be very similar to AE's 5 last. The Forest last is slightly sleeker than the 5 last, but I'm not really focused on that point for a suede shoe.
If it is sleeker it may be tougher to wear in a casual situation, but yes, if you are going to pay retail and color aside, I would go with the Carminas.