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Random fashion thoughts - Page 4208

post #63106 of 98336
Quote:
Originally Posted by KingJulien View Post

Lol.  No it's not.  You realize clothes don't just appear out of thin air, right?  The economics of getting a fickle seasonal item 6,000 miles away to the other side of the world aren't exactly elementary, and the backlash to having supply shortages or other production problems can tarnish a brand's image for years.  My guess is that Uniqlo just hasn't figured out the production and transportation to make such a large scale market shift.

Edit: talking about Uniqlo

It's not that I disagree with the bolded part, but they already have close to 200 stores spread out all over the world (with plans to open another 200 in the next two years), so it's not as if they are naive about international production logistics.
Quote:
Originally Posted by GraphicNovelty View Post

uniqlo also has a history of overreaching in the US, so it's not hard to think that it'd be cautious about expanding too fast.
though my hometown mall is getting one of the first mall US uniqlos Jersey pride!

Are you being facetious here?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fuuma View Post

That's actually a fallacy, sophisticated forecasting techniques means modelization or other bullshit where people compound errors and turn qualitative analysis into "fake" quantitative analysis + seriously discount the future. Maybe their glorified educated guesses are better than my hunches but it is not a given. There can be a host of other reasons from attention turned elsewhere to some exec somewhere having read a dumb article about the states while on the plane to whatever you can imagine. The idea that people, groups of people and by extension companies or govs take decisions rationally is both stupid and in gross disregard to what "rationally" actually means (it is according to position not universal).

Are you calling all quantitative modeling bullshit?
Quote:
Originally Posted by momentoftruth View Post

re: Uniqlo's US presence, there was a good write-up in the WSJ yesterday. Apparently they're planning a major phase of expansion in the next few years. Not sure how smart that is, although if there is one person who I'm not disagree with on retail, it's Tadashin Yanai

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443855804577601290820900470.html?KEYWORDS=uniqlo

I think there's a ton of potential in the mass retail market in America. If you put up Uniqlo locations up and down the coasts and in the larger Midwest cities, how badly would that hurt BR and Gap? Better looking clothes, that feel better, and cost less.
post #63107 of 98336

skip, what I meant was that if you open up an online store on a new continent you could accidentally fuck yourself if there's runaway demand.  see, for example, the dayton + wings and horns service boot disaster.

post #63108 of 98336
Quote:
Originally Posted by KingJulien View Post

skip, what I meant was that if you open up an online store on a new continent you could accidentally fuck yourself if there's runaway demand.  see, for example, the dayton + wings and horns service boot disaster.

I get what you're saying, but at the same time Uniqlo is already a huge entity that has sourcing, procurement, and distribution capabilities pretty much equal to almost any major apparel retailer in the world.
post #63109 of 98336
Quote:
Originally Posted by Biggskip View Post

I get what you're saying, but at the same time Uniqlo is already a huge entity that has sourcing, procurement, and distribution capabilities pretty much equal to almost any major apparel retailer in the world.

it's also different from the Dayton situation in that Uniqlo goods don't require the degree of craftsmanship that the later Dayton boots were sorely missing from the demand surge
post #63110 of 98336
Quote:
Originally Posted by KingJulien View Post

skip, what I meant was that if you open up an online store on a new continent you could accidentally fuck yourself if there's runaway demand.  see, for example, the dayton + wings and horns service boot disaster.

this is a really stupid comparison.
post #63111 of 98336
actually i don't care

Edited by KingJulien - 8/24/12 at 1:55pm
post #63112 of 98336
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post #63113 of 98336
Should I be excited about the Belasco (LA)?
post #63114 of 98336
Quote:
Originally Posted by Biggskip View Post

Are you being facetious here?

Actually, No. Their initial US forays failed.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uniqlo#United_States
post #63115 of 98336
i snuck in the chateau marmont last night for a private party, i went to get a drink and i look up and Sasha Baron Cohen was standing next to me with his wife icon_gu_b_slayer[1].gif
post #63116 of 98336
Quote:
Originally Posted by gettoasty View Post

Should I be excited about the Belasco (LA)?

Asian jersey shore'd. Unless that's your scene.
post #63117 of 98336
Orlebar Brown 5th Anniversary Prints on the Bulldog look fucking great, 4 more prints are yet to be seen






post #63118 of 98336
Quote:
Originally Posted by 13k View Post

Asian jersey shore'd. Unless that's your scene.

i find that show entertaining late nights around 1AM
Friend planning it when i visit LA again (great place to visit, not sure I can stand living there though).
Just looking for a chill time with all smiles.

i may participate in booking (10)
post #63119 of 98336
i just wanted to point out that translating any concept from one culture to another is far from trivial.

I don't think that Fuuma would say that all quantitative modeling is stupid, but it's certainly worth nothing that such models generally require an expert user to properly apply them and properly intepret the results and uncertainties. It's also worth nothing that the more trivial the problem, the better models generally perform, which means that for very difficult, complex problems, a model is often as good as a shot in the dark. Why do you think companies adjust their growth and revenues projections constantly? Why do you think that companies fail in spectacular fashion, on a regular basis? The old saying "There are liars, damn liars, and then there are statisticians (or more accurately, data scientists)", is not a bad one to remember.

Also, greed can get in the way of reason. For example, it should have been foreseen that distributed risk does not mean that all risk therefore becomes infinitesimally small, but when people are making money hand over fist, all the blood streaming to the phallus makes for people to think.
post #63120 of 98336
Taking another shot at introducing this idea:

I think there should be something like this for SWD. I would start the thread, but whoever is the OP, I think, should have some kind of intuition for the subject, and be able to organize it in the way David has. I'm not that person.

It would be a useful thread, however, and people like me could learn a lot from it.

Note, I realize that given the diversity of SWD, this kind of thread could become impossibly hard to manage. But I feel like taking a shot at it would be worthwhile.
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