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Posts by fuji

To be fair everyone here seems to be out of there depth if they don't understand how stochastic convergence works.
No its actually n!/k!(n-k)!p^k*(1-p)^(n-k) if the order of events is inconsequential, if you're doing ordered sets then yeah that is correct. You're understanding of the "law of averages" (not actually a real thing by the way, just something people seem to say, the closest thing is stochastic convergence) is wrong. If you have 10 reds in a row and you have N many more goes on the roulette then the total number of expected reds is N/2 + 10. Yes this will converge to N/2 not...
Kind of did say that. Why after seeing 10 reds would that incline you to bet black?5 reds and 5 blacks is more likely then 10 reds 1 black as it can occur in significantly more ways.
OK so based on 10 blacks in a row why would that make you bet red? You said because the chance of more blacks in a row is incredibly small, but it is no smaller then getting reds next turn.
You actually believe that the roulette machine has a memory? I have studied probability/stochastics to a fairly high level and it just amazes me you can think this. It's not like the probability decreases exponentially or something the probability of 12 after 11 is just the probability of 11 times 0.5If you think of it as an event from the beginning where nothing has happened yet then 11 black 1 red is 12x as likely as 12 black because there are 12x as many ways for it to...
Yeah it feels absolutely tiny which is why I got the sub. Looks like I'm wearing a women's watch.
Got a rolex submariner. Watch family looking aesthetic as fuck now.
What are these firms sponsoring IPF events? Obviously we all know Eleiko, SBD and rebhand, but wtf is heina.
So basically the same as the UK where everyone has a general practitioner who they see on like a few days notice who can then refer them to specialists?
I would never want to live in the uk without private health care. If you are largely healthy the NHS is probably fine, but they were absolutely useless when I had a problem with benzos and when my ex tried to kill herself. I'd be dead without private health care.
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