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Posts by otc

Also, how did the $100k guys buy their tickets? At that point, I'd start to worry about duplicate tickets and maximizing coverage on secondary prizes. But doing anything other than quickpick would be prohibitively slow. Expected Value will go up as you reduce the number of duplicate 4-5 ball combinations...$100k isn't enough to guarantee a $50k or $1m secondary prize, but it can get close. And you could technically guarantee at least some $100 prizes and a bunch of $4...
Yes, but there is a difference between odds and expected value.Somebody picking 1 2 3 4 5 6 has equal odds of winning as me...but their expected value is significantly lower.The MIT students who "beat" the Massachusetts lottery, were able to win because the game was poorly designed and with the right choices, you could actually come up with a strategy that had positive expected value in certain instances (in their case, it was actually the secondary, non-jackpot, prizes...
Also, why the fuck have people been lining up places to buy tickets? Is it that hard to find somewhere to buy tickets? I didn't even have to go outside and it was a 30 second transaction with no wait. I could have gone outside and walked to like 50 different places with lotto machines... I mean, I know the poor rural areas have less places...but really?
Yeah, bigger pots are going to continue going forward. I will laugh if there is no winner this time...next pot will be insane considering how many people are buying into this one. I just ran to the convenience store downstairs and put my theory to the test with 5 tickets (one order-form's worth). Took some random picks that had numbers on the high side (to avoid dates) and compared them to an excel list of historically winning numbers. Technically with my expected...
random is the way to go, but there are ways to optimize when it comes to a mega jackpot like this where a ton of tickets could easily be sold with lots of overlaps.You are trying to maximize the expected value of your own ticket. Each ticket has an even chance of winning...but if one other person has the same numbers, your expected value is instantly cut in half.If you pick 1 2 3 4 5 6...I guarantee there are a 100 other people who thought it would be funny if it...
If you choose carefully, you can decrease the chance of a shared jackpot.Lots of people use special dates (anniversaries, birthdays, etc), so the lower numbers are more common. People also avoid "unlucky" numbers--I saw articles attributing the fact that nobody won the 900m jackpot in the last drawing to the powerball being "13" which is picked much less often.I wouldn't pick any set of numbers that has won before...odds are good that someone has already picked them. ...
That would be a good way to troll someone. Put out a meme like that with shitty math...sign their name and/or twitter handle to it...make them look like idiots anytime someone googles their name.
Fat dudes whose bellys get in the way? So they have to stand far enough back that the pre- and post-stream dribbles don't make it into the urinal? Or if you get a serious puddle, I'd guess so fat they can't see where they are aiming and they just have to guess before the start...sometimes they miss. Or people on their phones who don't notice when their aim starts to drift.
Nice to hear good things about Joybird...I've been considering something from them.Also been looking into a company called Bryght...price is right but there are few reviews out there. Unfortunately, I don't really care for any of their sectional designs...but maybe Mr Moo might think differently.
We could all just buy powerball tickets... By my estimation, we are looking at an expected value of $1.80 on a ticket that costs $2. That's for lump sum, minus taxes, minus a chance that you might have to split the prize, plus the expected value of non-jackpot prizes. -10% returns don't look so bad right now.
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