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Posts by NoVaguy

He declared, and as far as I can tell, is a near lock for the debates (RNC rules are that top 10 in the GOP polls are in), unless he somehow gets left off a poll. The upcoming debate has serious trainwreck potential, and I expect Trump to serve up red meat that will help poison the eventual nominee in general.
If somebody else did this, we might be applauding their entrepreneurial spirit and giving them an admission spot in a nice business school instead of calling the cops...
Lasik, plastic surgery, and orthodontia might be bad examples. All 3 have had disproportionately benefitted from recent improvements in computer processing performance and pricing (both hardware and software CAD-CAM). Additionally, there are patent monopoly/expiration issues at play with Lasik and orthodontia. Im pretty sure a lot of the equipment that can be used for lasik and orthodontia (especially invisalign, which is locked in a patent invalidation dispute with...
CDC recently had a draft report that lowered the "safe" levels.http://www.consumerreports.org/cro/2012/03/cdc-advisers-call-for-less-allowable-lead/index.htm"A draft report issued by an advisory committee of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in January 2012 recommended that the CDC’s level of concern should be lowered to better protect children. That report was based on the latest science showing that adverse health and developmental effects in children can...
Michael Brown was a shoplifter; Garner was selling loose cigarettes; and the SC guy had a broken taillight and was behind on child support. And the other guy in NY (akai gurley)was just walking the stairs when he was shot by the nypd cops. None have murders in their background. Doesn't always seem like a good fit to your excuse.
This kind of polarizing profile looks to me like it'll cause problems in a whole of states besides WI. I don't see Walker type winning PA or VA if he keeps this profile, although one could win the governors race in those. Walker might actually have to win WI in order to be president, especially since I think VA might be close to gone at the presidential level absent a good environment.Really, Sandoval is the best candidate, and he's already in his second term. The guy's...
2000 and 2004, Bush and Rove made a real attempt to win WI, and the Dems had no money for the general election, so they gambled on natural turnout advantages in WI (and a lot of other states) and put their turnout money elsewhere.In 2004 Dean and Trippi (a lot more Trippi than Dean) figured out how to use the internet for small money, but the approach wasn't mature enough to be implemented for the general for Kerry and the Kerry team (correctly, imho) betted almost...
Corrected the 2014/2012 mistake.All states are "weird" compared to the national.Special election was in June, about 5 months before the presidential election. 2.5M votes casted, so almost 600k less than the 3.07M in the general. Walker got 53.1% to Barretts 46.3%. But the raw numbers are interesting. Walker got less votes than Romney, not surprising, but they are close - 1.335M for walker, 1.407M for Romney. But Barret only gets 1.164M and Obama gets the 1.620M.I...
Small sample size. Very few governors have even had to go through a recall. Maybe 3 or 4 in the past century. Nearly everybody else who's been recalled committed misconduct except Gray Davis and Scott Walker.Some exit poll electorate numbers:Year: lib-mod-con; dem-ind-rep;2014: 23-41-35 36-27-372012: 24-40-35 36-31-322010: 21-42-37 37-27-312008: 23-47-31 39-29-33Turnout was 2.41M in 2014, 3.07M in 2012, 2.16M in 2010, and 2.98M in 2008. ...
Candidate I would be most worried about is NV Gov Brian Sandoval (even though he also is a 2010/2014 governor). I'm surprised/not surpised he's not looking at the 2016 election. 2020 may be too late. He might be hoping for the VP slot.
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