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Posts by NoVaguy

One of those is Rasmussen, which I would discount until about late September or so. Stick to the RV polls for now.Letting Cruz speak was not a good decision.
This was my understanding too.If it was Trump-Christie at the top and Pence in the governor slot, it might have turned into a close but consistent Democratic sweep in Indiana for the big 3 statewide races. I could have seen a Trump narrow loss, a Pence loss, and decent Democratic Senate pickup as Bayh just jumped back in for the Democrats.As it is, I think the GOP will hold the EVs and the Governor's mansion, and the Senate seat is still a tossup to lean GOP. The Indiana...
You don't need to out the identity of a CIA agent to debate the issue against Ambassador Wilson.
Huge difference between outing a CIA agent as political retaliation against her husband and emailing subordinates on a private email server about the "top secret" drone program.I didn't know who the fuck Valerie Plame was before she got outed. I knew about the "top secret" drone program before Hillary was secretary of state.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/anti-donald-trump-forces-see-convention-coup-as-within-reach-1467839099 Hidden behind the wsj paywall, but according to quotations elsewhere, some guy's "count shows just about 890 delegates are personally loyal to the New Yorker. Another 680 oppose Mr. Trump. That leaves 900 delegates who are presumed to be “in play,” he said." My guess is that the 680 is heavily comprised of Cruz people, as he has 550 delegates and managed to get some of his...
If they're unbound, they can vote for Mitt. The paperwork is for fundraising, not for being a convention candidate.Main problem with this scenariois hard money fundraising. Mitt can get the soft money, but a dollar of hard money is probably worth about 2 dollars to the RNC commitees and worth 5 or 10 dollars of soft money to the super pacs. I'm not sure Mitt can get 150 million in hard money by November if he gets the nomination on July 22nd, and he really would need it...
She's really vulnerable, but not to Trump (or Cruz). Either Rubio or Kasich would crush her, for example (maybe not - the electoral math is really bad for the gop in general). Convention rules committee really should consider an unbinding resolution, except I think Cruz would have the real delegate support and win on the first ballot in the delegates were unbound.
I think part of the problem is exactly what is in those emails - given the timing and whats been previously reported, I suspect most of the retroactively classified content has to do with the drone program. Most likely a recurring fact pattern in a large number of the emails is: (a) Drone strike kills civilians in nation X, nation X complains via diplomatic channels, flurry of emails in state department reaching Hillary, DoD retroactively classifieds everything because...
For what it is worth, that age demographic projections are a little unrealistic. Projects that only 12% of the voters will be ages 18-29.2012 put that demo at 19%.http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/2012-exit-polls/table.html2008 had it at 18%http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/2004 had it at 17%http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.htmlMy guess is that their likely voter screen puts too much weight on...
Does an AL team bat a pitcher 9th if the manager is opposed to the DH? No, they play by the rules as they are and try to change them in the offseason.
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